Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.182974e-03 1.332545e-03 0.001484 0.001647 0.001819 0.001993 0.002184
2025-03-02 8.627225e-04 1.072324e-03 0.001293 0.001541 0.001809 0.002089 0.002401
2025-03-09 6.377711e-04 8.864450e-04 0.001161 0.001479 0.001834 0.002212 0.002642
2025-03-16 4.739004e-04 7.480329e-04 0.001065 0.001446 0.001882 0.002357 0.002905
2025-03-23 3.788955e-04 6.773727e-04 0.001038 0.001485 0.002007 0.002583 0.003257
2025-03-30 2.868957e-04 5.965657e-04 0.000991 0.001494 0.002092 0.002764 0.003558
2025-04-06 2.144149e-04 5.291114e-04 0.000952 0.001507 0.002180 0.002944 0.003857
2025-04-13 1.588698e-04 4.747851e-04 0.000923 0.001528 0.002274 0.003131 0.004161
2025-04-20 9.791306e-05 3.959354e-04 0.000853 0.001492 0.002296 0.003230 0.004364
2025-04-27 5.299486e-05 3.270584e-04 0.000789 0.001457 0.002314 0.003323 0.004557
2025-05-04 3.648992e-05 3.085511e-04 0.000794 0.001512 0.002443 0.003544 0.004897
2025-05-11 1.639704e-05 2.666267e-04 0.000760 0.001510 0.002498 0.003677 0.005134
2025-05-18 4.252047e-08 1.869309e-04 0.000660 0.001423 0.002456 0.003707 0.005268
2025-05-25 NaN 1.289318e-04 0.000583 0.001364 0.002446 0.003776 0.005451
2025-06-01 NaN 8.905761e-05 0.000529 0.001332 0.002471 0.003887 0.005683
2025-06-08 NaN 6.110970e-05 0.000490 0.001320 0.002520 0.004028 0.005951
2025-06-15 NaN 5.130869e-05 0.000492 0.001370 0.002653 0.004272 0.006344
2025-06-22 NaN 3.655507e-05 0.000473 0.001386 0.002740 0.004460 0.006669
2025-06-29 NaN 2.491302e-05 0.000458 0.001405 0.002829 0.004649 0.006995
2025-07-06 NaN 1.646849e-05 0.000446 0.001430 0.002926 0.004847 0.007332
2025-07-13 NaN 5.174933e-06 0.000404 0.001398 0.002941 0.004941 0.007542
2025-07-20 NaN 1.858406e-07 0.000364 0.001366 0.002953 0.005031 0.007745
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000372 0.001421 0.003091 0.005279 0.008142